Heating oil

Quant Cycles (formerly called the Cycle Projection Oscillator) is a technical tool that uses proprietary statistical techniques and complex algorithms to filter multiple cycles from historical data, combines them to obtain cyclical information from price data and then gives a graphical representation of their productive behavior. Other proprietary frequency domain techniques then are employed to obtain the cycles embedded in the price.
The Cycle Projection Oscillator (CPO) is a technical tool that employs proprietary statistical techniques and complex algorithms to filter multiple cycles from historical data, combines them to obtain cyclical information from price data and then gives a graphical representation of their productive behavior. Other proprietary frequency domain techniques then are employed to obtain the cycles embedded in the price.
The unrest in Iran may give the Trump administration the ammunition it needs to back out of the Iranian nuclear deal and slap new sanctions on Iran. President Trump views Iran as the number one state sponsor of terror and feels that the Iranian regime is one of the major causes of war and conflict in the region. Trump wants to take a hard stance against Iran and this could be his opening.

Brent crude is being driven higher as tight distillate supply in Europe and expectations of low U.S. exports of distillates are making the market look very tight going into winter.

I have been watching the spread/price differential between September 17 heating oil and September 17 RBOB gas futures.

The crude oil complex is holding onto Tuesday’s gains and trading in positive territory in early morning Wednesday trading.

If I am concerned about anything it is the U.S. dollar, which is threatening to fall apart. As you can see on the chart below, recent action shows an inability to get above that recent gigantic red power bar in the leg off the 616 hour low. It failed, came to the inflection line you see which is the beginning of the real candle body for the red bar. It came down to it, held support and started breaking down. It's not terminal yet but if they bounce it and it fails at that line it will be see ya in the next lifetime.
From a technical perspective all of the commodities in the oil complex hit a top several days ago and have been drifting lower since peaking after a long run to the upside that began in early February.
Ultra low sulfur diesel for March delivery rose 1.11 cents, or 0.4%, to $3.1579 a gallon at 1:30 p.m. on the New York Mercantile Exchange on volume that was 31 percent above the 100- day average.
West Texas Intermediate crude rose for the sixth time in seven days after an industry report showed distillate stockpiles shrank last week.