Agriculture

May corn futures made several attempts to rally last week but failed to hold those attempts through the close, which has kept the funds comfortably short. Friday’s Commitment of Traders report showed funds net short position at 99,925 contracts.
Corn futures caught a midday bid yesterday on the back of oil prices surging as much as 30%. President Trump tweeted that Russia and Saudi Arabia had open lines of communication regarding a production cut of 10-15 million barrels per day.
Cattle futures turned lower and didn’t let up, finishing the day locked at the expanded limit. Live cattle remain in expanded limits, 4.50. Feeder cattle are in expanded limits 6.75. Cash cattle started to pick up yesterday, the bulk coming in near 112.
Yesterday’s USDA report had corn prospective acres at an astonishing 96.99 million acres, well above the average estimate of 94 million. Corn quarterly stocks came in at 7.953 billion bushels, towards the low end of estimates.
Attention is all on this morning’s USDA report, out at 11 am CT. Corn prospective acres are expected to come in near 94 million. Quarterly stocks are expected to come in near 8.134 billion bushels.
June lean hogs made new lows on Friday as trend-following funds continue to press the pedal to the metal. There’s not a clear indication of how things will open yet.
May corn continue to grind higher yesterday, despite news that two more ethanol plants will be closing, due to negative margins. Export sales this morning came in at a whopping 1,814,300 for old crop corn.
Cocoa futures have been weakened by demand and the global equity markets. As the US and European markets moved higher for back to back sessions for the first time since February, cocoa tried to bounce off a potential bottom in the May contract.
We do believe there is more room to the upside on the front-month live cattle contracts, but we think it may not be sustainable for another week.
May soybeans extended their rally yesterday on the back of hopes for better demand and potential port disruptions in South America. The market is giving back some of those gains in the early morning trade.