Brexit Deal Could Push Cocoa Demand and Futures Higher

October 20, 2019 01:25 PM
Cocoa futures December contract is range bound
More positive global macro tone to Cocoa futures
Cocoa Futures Update

Cocoa Futures Update

Cocoa futures demand could be on the rise?


Cocoa has been a macro trade of late. The December contract is range bound in this recent consolidation.

Due to a more positive global tone, possible Brexit deal as well, cocoa’s demand could be on the rise. If the demand outlook rises, look for support at these current prices at the higher end of this channel. As a Brexit deal could push the euro and pound higher, other outside global factors are still uncertain. Trade talks, Asian demand, and North American data are all factors as well.

Grinding data this week will also be processed and added to the trading equation as we enter the weekend. Will this data help the December contract break out and continue its climb we saw in October? What will the COT data show after Friday’s close? These questions will provide short-term volatility.

A continued close above 2500 is supportive for prices. A close above 2560 and the 9-day moving average is critical– these key technical points should reaffirm last quarter’s trend as we head towards year-end and the next contract roll.

Source: Tradingview

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About the Author

Peter Mooses is a commodity broker at RJO Futures. He enjoys the analytical aspects of futures trading and appreciates the economic impact that commodities have across all markets. Peter utilizes market analysis and trends to help clients achieve a balance between risk and return, while always keeping their investment objectives top of mind. Follow Peter on Twitter @PMoosesRJO